Scouting Report: Tristen Robins

Photo Credit: Steve Hiscock / Saskatoon Blades

Player Profile

D.O.B – November 15, 2001
Nationality – Canada
Draft Eligibility – 2020
Height – 5’10
Weight – 173 lbs
Position – Center
Handedness – Right

Robins’ Style Of Play

The undersized forward is defined by his high IQ at both ends of the rink. He is very patient with the puck, and also has great passing ability and an abundance of creativity in his game. He is also an agile skater with a fantastic burst and good top speed, meaning that he can leave opponents in the dust within just two strides. His work ethic cannot be faulted, he plays the game like each shift is his last, and is all over the ice. On the defensive side of the game he is a puck-hawk. He manages to get into passing lanes with regularity, and insomuch turns pucks over and sends them the other way with regularity, as well as breaking up passes in the neutral and defensive zone what seems like every few shifts. It is no surprise given the combination of speed and instincts that he is dangerous on the penalty kill when used there. Robins also likes to shoot when he has a chance, and has a nice release. He also has decent hands even if they are not “exceptional”, and when he uses them he is rarely “flashy” but more utilitarian. Overall Robins is just an extremely solid all-around hockey player with a high work ethic and who knows exactly where to be on the ice.

In terms of issues? There are none really apart from his size… and the fact that he is not really “exceptional” in any area, even if above average everywhere. But you cannot teach the hockey IQ and game awareness that he has.

He also did not get much help in Saskatoon, and still produced at an extremely impressive level. His second half was only overshadowed by Seth Jarvis in the entire WHL, with Robins putting up 51 points in his last 31 games. Robins might be available in the third round… and would be a fantastic pick up there. I think he is a legitimate second round type talent. Down the line, he could be a really good middle six forward in the NHL who is capable of 45 points with a well-rounded game, though at a higher level he likely a right winger.

Comparable

Vinnie Hinostroza, Center, Arizona Coyotes

Both forwards are undersized yet versatile players with fantastic motors and very well rounded games. Not “flashy”, but both have good hands, passing and a nice release. Underrated defensive games and a high IQ.

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Scouting Report: Emil Andrae

Photo Credit – HV71

Emil Andrae was the top scoring defenseman in SuperElit this season, while also having 12 points in 13 games for the u-18 Swedish team, and being a standout at the WHC-17 last year. Despite being undersized, he is certainly the most talented Swedish blue-liner in the draft, and has the ability to be a top four NHL defenseman down the line.

Player Profile

D.O.B – February 23, 2002
Nationality – Sweden
Draft Eligibility – 2020
Height – 5’9
Weight – 183 lbs
Position – Defense
Handedness – Left

Andrae’s Style Of Play



Andrae is able to puck-handle exceptionally well, both at speed and in close quarters. This lends itself well to transitioning the puck up ice, as well as evading pressure and providing efficient outlet passing from his own zone. He is also creative in the offensive zone, especially at the offensive blue-line, where his hands, IQ and calm demeanor means that he creates space exceptionally well, and baits forwards into over-committing to result in odd-men situations when walking in. This becomes a greater threat when his wrist-shot is factored in, as once a man has over-committed Andrae is capable of driving to the high-slot and getting a dangerous wrister off to create havoc near the crease. He has a good defensive IQ as well, and even though he is by no means “big”, he is broad and strong for his size, and has no issue being physical. At times he even engages in contact when he has the puck in the offensive zone. It is rare to see a defenseman “Forsberg” an opponent… but Andrae did just that on multiple occasions this year.

Apart from size, the only real issue is that his skating is pretty mediocre, and while very agile he has a slightly clunky stride, and as a result does not seem to develop the power he might be capable of in a straight line. He projects as a middle pairing defenseman if he can get faster. However, overall he has a very mature game that does not need overly developing from here on out in order to reach the NHL.

Comparable

Jared Spurgeon, right handed defenseman, Minnesota Wild

Similar to Spurgeon, Andrae is an undersized, two-way defenseman that has grit. Spurgeon has better skating right now, but Andrae is naturally flashier and a lefty. It is doubtful that he can be as good as Spurgeon, but his ceiling could be similar at “face value”.

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Scouting Report: Theodor Niederbach

Photo Credit – Frölunda HC

A few years ago, there were some who thought of Theodor Niederbach as in the tier after Alexander Holtz, Lucas Raymond and Noel Gunler for his age, and as a potential first rounder. However, he somewhat disappeared from prospect watcher consciences for the last two years. Why? A serious knee injury (Osteochondritis) at age 15, and the surgery that followed, made him miss 15 months of hockey. In turn he did not play a single game in 2018-19. This year though, he came back with a bang, and made people sit up and take notice again.

Player Profile

D.O.B – February 25, 2002
Nationality – Sweden
Draft Eligibility – 2020
Height – 5’11
Weight – 172 lbs
Position – Center
Handedness – Right

Niederbach’s Style Of Play


Niederbach has fantastic hands, which combined with his plus skating and confidence with the puck means he is one of those forwards who can, and often does, make defensemen look silly. He does a lot of damage on the power-play, and for his age is truly an elite power-play quarterback who is one step ahead of the play. He is able to see and dissect plays before they happen, find lanes for himself and his team-mates, and is always getting into dangerous positions. This, alongside a quick and accurate release on his shot, mean that no matter whether he is on the half-boards or driving into the slot he is a night-mare to defend on the man-up.

Unsurprisingly due to his skill-set, Niederbach is also very good through the neutral zone, and effects zone entries at a very high percentage as a result. He can be a bit of a puck-hog at times, and this aspect of his game can lead to turnovers and promising plays fizzling out.

He probably should have scored more at even strength this season, and at times just went missing from games despite usually being the most skilled player on ice. For a center, he is also mediocre defensively and needs to focus on it more at times. Niederbach is a natural center who played better there than at wing this season, but maybe at the next level he moves to wing full-time because of his deficiencies in his own zone. His upside is probably that of a good second line NHLer. There is no doubting his skill, and his skating – considering he has only recently came back from a serious knee injury – is impressive, and will only get better.

Comparable

Marcus Johansson, Center, Buffalo Sabres

Like Johansson, Niederbach is a good skater with soft hands. He is a skilled forward with great vision, but who often leaves you wanting more. The only two areas of his game that could use real improvement are his play in the defensive zone, and his decision making when it comes to shooting, and he should be encouraged to use his nice release with more regularity.

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Scouting Report: Nico Daws

Photo by Steven Ellis/The Hockey News

One of the best stories of the 2020 draft season was the impeccable rise of Nico Daws to OHL stardom.

To offer a bit of perspective, Daws had 34 starts in his first two seasons with unspectacular numbers. He was the 16th-ranked North American goaltender by NHL Central Scouting, but was otherwise not much of a threat as an 18-year-old backup and went unselected. Was he even capable of holding down the fort as a third-year OHLer?

Spoiler alert: yes, and in spectacular fashion.

I asked a scout last summer about Guelph’s goaltending situation with veteran Anthony Popovich on his way out. He said the only way the Storm were going to avoid total embarrassment in a rebuilding season for the club was to acquire a hotshot young gun to fill the role for a year or two. Turns out, they already had that goalie in the system. By the time Daws was named to Canada’s camp for the World Junior Championship in December, Daws had an incredible 13-2-4 record, .941 save percentage and four shutouts through 19 contests. So it wasn’t a surprise when he finished with the Jim Rutherford Trophy as the OHL’s top goaltender after posting a 23-8-6 record with five shutouts and a league-leading .924 save percentage, good to make Guelph one of the league’s most feared outfits just a year after winning the league title.

When he faced at least 35 shots in a game this season, Daws’ record stood at 9-1-4 – that’s a sign of a big-game goaltender that performs at a high level when the pressure is on. According to InStat hockey, Daws’ expected goals conceded among all his starts this season – including international contests – was 150, while his actual goals against was 109. That alone tells you just how important Daws was to the Storm, who went 5-4-1 with Daws out of the lineup for the World Junior Championship and 9-15-2 with Owen Bennett at the helm.

Of course, his career had its fair share of struggles. Of course, he was good, but quite unspectacular in his first two campaigns. He lost the starting job at the World Junior Championship after his meteoric rise to earn a roster spot and a late-breaking injury took him out of the CHL Top Prospects Game in January. But Daws has proven he can fight back from adversity (he turned a three-game personal losing streak post-WJC into a 9-1-3 run – one of the best of his career) and his raw ability is something teams spent the year focusing on.

Where he’ll land later this mon- sorry, whenever the draft actually happens, is still a mystery. Daws is the top-ranked goaltender in North America and considered by many to be the best option after Yaroslav Askarov. But was he good enough for a significant period of time to entice a scout to select him in the second round? The thing with goalies is that goaltenders are a total crapshoot in the draft. Dustin Wolf was arguably one of the top goalies for the 2019 selection process, but instead went 214th out of 217 players (the 22nd goaltender selected). Wolf went on to win the CHL’s goaltender of the year award this season and is expected to be the future of the Calgary Flames, but many teams seemed wary of his smaller 6-foot-0 frame. Don’t be shocked if Daws goes in the second round, but, again, drafting goaltenders can be a complete mystery.

Let’s take a closer look at Daws’ overall package:

Player Profile

D.O.B – December 20, 2000
Nationality – Canada
Draft Eligibility – 2020
Height – 6’4
Weight – 203 lbs
Position – Goaltender
Handedness – Left

Daws’ Style Of Play

Right off the bat, it’s clear that Daws’ aggressive defensive style with both glove hands are a big asset to his game. He’s nearly unbeatable on his glove side and he isn’t afraid to get his active blocker into action when it’s suitable. He uses his big frame to look past opponents and put himself into a position to succeed on a scoring chance, and his mobile glove hand does an admirable job in dealing with cross-ice passes.

With Daws’ solid frame, the Burlington, Ont. native has good leg strength that allows him to push from crease to crease and back and forth with ease. Specifically, he doesn’t allow many shots down low and covers the lower half almost perfectly on a point-blank opportunity, but he’s got the leg strength to push himself over for a rebound. He’s got the ideal quickness in the blue paint that teams want from a big goaltender, and since you can’t teach size, it’s good that he has the modern-day physical aspects teams are looking for.

Speaking of his down-low coverage, Daws has a battler’s mentality – he spent the year proving doubters wrong, and his gameplay reflects that. He does a great job of sticking with the play when he appears down and out and doesn’t mind throwing his body around to just get a piece of a shot.

Daws does allow a bad goal from time to time, so the biggest adjustment is ensuring that he remains confident enough to keep his mind in the game. Don’t forget, Daws’ game has come a long way in the past year, from going from uncertain backup to OHL star. That’s not easy for any kid, and while he clearly handled the pressure impeccably, the adjustment to pro hockey in the near future will be another challenge for someone that had a slower development path. But that’s also one of the most intriguing things about him: like any other prospect that shows tremendous improvement in their draft year, how much farther can they go?

Another major aspect of Daws’ game is how he always seems willing to keep a play alive. If he gets a chance to do so, he’ll send a pass down the ice to a forward on a breakout or steer it safely to a defenseman behind the net. He’s an active puck-handler, and and with four assists (the most of any OHL goaltender this season), he’s got positive results to show for. That’s something that does translate well to the NHL, so that’s a nice touch.

In terms of having Toronto’s Frederik Andersen as a comparable (as listed below), it’s mainly how Daws doesn’t rely on a big frame to deflect pucks. Daws moves admirably in the crease and doesn’t waste his movements, rarely forcing himself too out of position. Like Andersen, Daws can handle a heavy workload and gives his team a chance to win most nights, and that’s the least you can ask for out of your No. 1 goaltender.

They key for Daws moving forward is to continue amassing starts and earning opportunities. If Guelph looks to go into a further rebuild mode next year, maybe the team looks to move the pending 20-year-old to a contender. At the very least, there will be a market for Daws regardless of where he plays, and that extra experience will be valuable. He has limited time as a starter, with his one season at the top getting cut short by this pandemic you’re likely aware of, so getting another 45-50 starts next year will be key.

Comparable

Frederik Andersen, G, Toronto Maple Leafs

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Defensemen Roundtable

Recently, we did a goaltender roundtable, which featured comments from several scouts, analysts and bloggers. This time around, we have decided to do a defensemen roundtable. In this roundtable, Will Scouch (Scouching.ca, McKeen’s Hockey), Mitch Brown (Elite Prospects Rinkside, The Athletic), Tony Ferrari (Dobber Prospects, Future Considerations Hockey), Brock Otten (OHL Prospects, McKeen’s Hockey), Colin Cudmore (SB Nation’s Silver Seven Sens) and Josh Tessler (Smaht Scouting, Future Considerations Hockey).

What are the traits that you look for in your ideal defenseman? 

Will Scouch (@Scouching): The biggest thing I look for in a young defender is mobility. Four directional skating with an ability to change directions quickly to adapt to breakouts as they happen. The best defensemen are the defensemen who never have to defend, so I look for players that break play up across bluelines and turn play around effectively. Closing gaps, playing with your stick primarily, and quickly spotting routes out of pressure situations. With good, mobile defenders who can shut play down in transition effectively, you can develop the DZ positioning and physical strength to round things out much easier than getting them comfortable with the natural flow of the game. Offense is nice, but I’m all about that mobility and transition defense.

Mitch Brown (@MitchLBrown): My ideal defenceman shoots like Shea Weber, passes like Andrei Markov, defends the rush like Nik Lidstrom, and skates like Paul Coffey. But beyond the obvious tools, here are three of many traits I value in defencemen.  

First, risk-mitigating footwork while defending. “Stepping up” on attackers, whether that’s by literally striding towards the attacker, stopping entirely, or committing weight (with a crossover, pivot, etc.) in one direction too early, introduces unnecessary risk. Even in junior, players who defend the rush with these techniques are prone to conceding the middle spectacularly (see: Villeneuve and Cotton). Instead, the best rush defenders backpedal toward the middle, then close the gap while moving backwards, steadily removing the attacker’s options. With the attacker’s options reduced to gaining the zone on the outside lane, the defender’s free to hunt the breakup – provided they continue to maintain backwards momentum.

Second, rush activation. Successful rush activation isn’t just about becoming a forward in transition; it’s about always being able to join the offence and give teammates another passing option. Maintaining stride/crossovers through passes or accelerating out of the breakout pass gives defenders the option of joining the rush. Rush activation habits bleed into rush defence, too: if a turnover occurs, a properly activated defender already has their gap closed.  

Third, layered breakout passes. The first layer is hitting the tape of a stationary target – most CHL defencemen do this regularly. The next layer is hitting a moving target with a pass into space. That is, passes into areas where the recipient keeps these feet moving through the pass reception, creating speed advantages for the attacker and increasing the likelihood of a controlled entry and scoring chance. The third layer is connecting with passes through sticks/skates, often setting up the pass with fakes or eye deception (look offs) to increase the likelihood of success. The final layer, characteristic of top transition players in the NHL, is seeking out forechecking pressure. They try to engage as much attention as possible – as if they have a gravitational pull – with a combination of skill, routes, and deception. By diverting attention away from their teammates, these defenders create advantages (i.e., speed differentials, space, time) for their teammates up the ice – provided they have the skill to execute.  

Tony Ferrari (@TheTonyFerrari): When evaluating defenseman, I try to initially focus on three things. Intelligence, skating and spatial awareness. Intelligence is most important in my mind, but is often the last of the traits that I get a grasp on because it takes a few viewings to see how consistent, how intelligent and how aware of their surroundings the defender is. When the puck is on his stick, what does he do with it? Does the rearguard see the passing options consistently or do they go with their first read on every breakout? Where is defensive positioning as a play develops in the defensive zone? There are many questions that you have to answer to come up with a true understanding of where the player’s ‘hockey IQ’ is. 

In the time it takes to evaluate the defenders mind, the opportunity to evaluate their raw tools and skills arises. Skating is always one of the more important traits as the game is evolving more and more towards a speed and skill approach. For defenseman, top speed is of less importance to me. I look for strong edge work and agility, specifically in small spaces. I look to see if the defender has a quick first step because the ability to separate early is more important than his ability to win a long race. Can the d-man get out of trouble with his skating? 

I look to see how a defender moves the puck ice and how patient he is with it. If a defender uses his passing as his primary vehicle in transition, how effective is he?. Does he go for the homerun stretch pass too often or can he recognize when the opposition is giving him a shorter pass to the neutral zone. For defenders who are carry-out transitional players, what kind of skating paths do they take? This is where top-speed can be more of an asset but is again not necessary. Puck handling becomes more of a question here as well. If a defender skates like the wind, is agile in traffic and reads the opposition well, it’s all for not if they like holding onto the puck but don’t have the hands to do it competently.

There are obviously many more things that I look at in a defenseman’s game. I didn’t even mention their actual defensive game but if they show high-IQ habits, it generally means that they have a bit more room for progression and defense can be taught. High intelligence, good skating and spatial awareness can get a defender ahead of the game before they even know it. Whether it be angling defenders properly to the outside, using their pivots correctly without crossing over and becoming unbalanced or the ability to contribute offensively, the traits mentioned above can be the building blocks of a complete defensive game.

Brock Otten (@BrockOtten): In today’s NHL, I think mobility, processing speed, and physical intensity level are the three qualities that I would really look for.

Mobility has to be number one. Ideally, I not only want my defender to have an explosive first few strides to help him evade forecheckers and activate offensively, but I want his overall four way mobility to be strong. In particular, his transition from backward to forward stride, and his lateral mobility are critical. This allows for cleaner exits because he can be quicker to dump ins, and also helps to defend in transition by maintaining quality gap control. 

Processing speed is integral because of the pace that the NHL plays at now. I want a defender who keeps their head up in the defensive end and who can make a clean exit even with intense pressure barreling down at him. Additionally, using those same instincts working inside the opposing blueline can help said defender to be an asset offensively; making quick decisions with the puck before the defense is able to truly set up. A quick thinker can quarterback a powerplay without elite level hands or creativity. 

Lastly, I’m probably still old school in that I think a high physical intensity level in the defensive end is important. I want a defender who is hard to play against. A guy who takes away your space and forces you to make poor decisions by suffocating you. A guy who punishes you for wanting to play near the crease, and who makes you hesitate coming across the blueline. The game has changed, but if you look at the Stanley Cup winners in recent years, they still have defenders like this.

Colin Cudmore (@CudmoreColin): I’m not a scout, so take my word last when it comes to the scouting side. I personally like looking at data, which is a challenge for analyzing prospect defencemen — it’s very limited for most leagues outside the NHL, and the only globally-available stats (points, PIM, plus-minus) really aren’t helpful in determining which defencemen achieve positive results. There’s a handful of excellent resources, though, most notably Dave MacPherson’s Pick224.com which includes stats like estimated TOI, primary points and on-ice goals, as well as Mitch Brown’s Patreon-backed microtracking. This answers questions like which defencemen are better at zone transitions, making high-danger passes, preventing entries against, etc.

My philosophy when it comes to prospect analysis is that the vast majority of the game’s defensive aspects are learned, through participating in team systems and/or practicing with coaches. High-end offensive tools are much harder to perfect and tend to be more innately ingrained in prospects, so my ideal young blueliner has elite offensive acumen — someone who can process the game at a very high speed and creatively drive play. The defence can be a nice bonus, but when looking at U20 players, I have much more leniency for those aspects to come later. Statistically this means giving weight to stats like P1/60 and relative GF%, and xP1/60 on the microtracking side.

If a player isn’t able to drive play against junior competition (taking into account contextual factors), it’ll be even harder later in their career. Data obviously doesn’t tell the whole story, and caution is always needed given the limitations. But as someone who presumably doesn’t watch as much hockey as everyone else in this roundtable, it’s extremely useful, especially as a starting point to figure out which players know how to get results.

Josh Tessler (@JoshTessler_): When it comes to choosing my ideal defenseman, I tend to look for the following traits: puck movement, decision-making, skating, strong first pass, gap control, physicality.

My defensemen does not need to be a controlled puck moving defenseman. I do not need my defensemen to move the puck up the ice by himself. If the defenseman tends to prefer making a breakout pass and having his forwards carry the puck up the ice that works for me. But, I do like defensemen who can take the reigns and carry the puck up the ice. Either approach works for me.

My ideal defensemen has a wide stride and can accelerate up and down the ice. I prefer defensemen who can quick transition from forwards to backwards skating. While it seems that all defensemen should be able to transition quickly, there are defensemen who are quicker at transitioning at a moment’s notice.

In the defensive and neutral zone, I want my ideal defenseman deploying a tight gap control. I do not need my defenseman to deliver booming body checks at open ice or along the boards, but I want him to be a robust poke-checker and not allowing his opponent to have too much room.

In the offensive zone, I always love defensemen who can help cycle the puck/pinch and support the offensive attack. If they are not comfortable pinch, I want my defenseman to be defensive responsible and watch his teammates movement closely. He needs to ready to move across the blue line and provide support on the other side of the ice incase his defensive partner pinches and no forward drops back.

Who are some defensemen (draft eligible or drafted, just not playing in the NHL) who exemplify those traits?

Will Scouch: Since I don’t track data for or watch nearly enough of the the NHL, I can’t say for certain players that exemplify those traits, but guys like Ryan Ellis are defenders I love watching play. He overcomes his size exceptionally well through his skating and intelligence and it shows defensively. Adam Fox would be another defender I value for his intelligence and mobility. Draft eligible defenders that follow this trend are guys like Jake Sanderson, Emil Andrae, Joni Jurmo, and even Kaiden Guhle all fit that trend.

Mitch Brown: Bypassing the top prospects, some of these year’s draft eligibles who fit the mould are Daemon Hunt and Ethan Edwards. Between injuries and an awful team, Hunt’s draft season didn’t go to plan. While his offensive upside is questionable, he leads all draft-eligible CHL defencemen in Controlled Exit Percentage (Pressured + Relative to Team), and he’s one of the best neutral zone defenders in junior hockey. He almost always passes into space, accelerates out of his passes, and isn’t afraid to suck in additional forecheckers to create advantages for his teammates in the neutral zone. What separates Hunt (as well as Guhle and Schneider) from other impressive CHL rush defenders isn’t just the risk-mitigating footwork – it’s how quickly they recognize and capitalize on the breakup opportunities that their footwork patterns and gap control creates.

Ethan Edwards didn’t score much in the AJHL, he’s 5’10”, and his skating suffers from a wide stride recovery and heel kick (characteristic of short extensions). But he recognizes that his small-area quickness and passing are his best traits, so he leans on engaging as much forechecking pressure as possible, then hitting a moving teammate with a pass into space. As he continues to add look offs and fakes into his passing, he’ll only become more effective. He, too, relies on risk-mitigating footwork while defending. And he’s always in the rush by keeping those feet moving through his passes, so if there’s a turnover, his gap is already closed.  

Tony Ferrari: One defender from this draft that really seems to fit the mould of a player I like is Jake Sanderson. He’s been in my first round all year and despite my consistent stance that there isn’t a truly elite defenseman in this class, Sanderson plays the game the way I like it played. He shows so much room for growth offensively on top of his stout defensive game. The reason he shows that room for growth is that he excels in the three traits I mentioned above as well as adding a physical element to his game and a burgeoning offensive game that may not transition fully to the pro game but there is certainly second powerplay upside if given the opportunity. 

As for a drafted defender that fits the mould, Moritz Seider has been a favourite of mine for a while now. I had him ranked 11th last year and wanted to put him higher. He has good size and excellent skating. He shows incredible intelligence and is one of the rare few that I don’t mind taking liberties by throwing big open ice hits because he chooses his spots so well. His intelligence allows him to utilize his superb skating and his transition to the AHL was virtually seamless last year. ‘German Lidstrom’, as some Red Wings fans have playfully referred to him, is going to be a very good NHL defenseman and if he can take the next step in his development and show that the tools he has can lead to being an excellent supporting cast member in the offensive zone, he could become truly special.

Brock Otten: I’ll give you three defenders; two draft eligible and one already drafted.

1. DRAFTED – Moritz Seider

I absolutely love the way that this guy plays. I thought he was the best defender at the most recent World Juniors. He suffocates you defensively, but is a presence offensively because of his mobility. He is the prototype of the modern day shutdown defender because he can play both ends, handle pace, and packs a physical punch. The Detroit Red Wings look like geniuses in jumping up to take this guy earlier than people were projecting last year.

2. DRAFT ELIGIBLE – Jake Sanderson

For the reasons that I love Seider, I also love Sanderson. He is just such an explosive skater. He takes away space so quickly. Even when you think he’s out of a play, he takes two strides and he’s closed the gap. He’s also a physical presence and has a strong defensive mind. Offensively, I think his game is underrated by those who choose to discredit him. He is terrific exiting the zone and shows good vision with the puck even while in full stride. I don’t hesitate to take him inside the top 7-8 this year.

3. DRAFT ELIGIBLE – Jamie Drysdale

Everything I said about mobility and processing speed applies to Drysdale 1000x times over. He is just such a smooth player and is IMO, the best and most promising defender that I have seen in the OHL since Drew Doughty. Obviously, he is lacking in the physical intensity department that I mentioned, but his first two traits (mobility and brain) are so elite that I’m not the least bit worried about him being able to defend in the NHL. He soaks up information like a sponge and continues to progress, even as a high end player already.

Colin Cudmore: My focus has been mostly on the 2020 draft for the past year, and Jamie Drysdale is the perfect example. He flat out pushed play offensively whenever he hit the ice, combining his high-end vision with his refined playmaking abilities to create dangerous chances for Erie. He generated shot assists last season at a rate better than everyone in the CHL not named Ryan Merkley (another player who exemplifies a lot of what I love), and his team was scoring far more goals when he was on the ice compared to off. His skillset is especially rare in this draft class, hence why he’s so highly coveted.

Josh Tessler: There are quite a few defensive draft prospects who have caught my eye. Jake Sanderson and Kaiden Guhle deploys exceptional gap control and can be physical at both ends of the ice. Jacob Dion and Joni Jurmo will pinch and help run the cycle. Jamie Drysdale is an extremely talented skater and his lateral movements allow him to dance around the blue line, which is quite useful on the power play. Eamon Powell is a strong puck moving defenseman, who seems to thrive at weaving through traffic.

Scouting Report: Logan Stankoven

Photo Credit: Allen Douglas / Kamloops Blazers

Logan Stankoven is a 2021 NHL Draft eligible forward prospect, who hails from Kamloops, British Columbia. In his 2019-2020 season, his rookie season in the WHL, he shined with the Kamloops Blazers. His performance resulted in him being named the WHL Western Conference Rookie of the Year. Unfortunately for the Kamloops, British Columbia native, he did not bring home the WHL Rookie of the Year award (went to Dylan Guenther of Edmonton Oil Kings), but he put up a strong fight.

Stankoven flourished in his rookie season and was a strong offensive producer for the Blazers. In 59 games played, he recorded 29 goals and 19 assists. Kamloops was truly dominant in the offensive zone and a huge credit for that success goes to Stankoven and his teammate Connor Zary.

This past season, Stankoven wasn’t able to get a ton of playing time as the WHL season was shortened due to COVID-19. While only appearing in six games for the Blazers, he was lights out in the offensive zone. He recorded seven goals and three assists. In addition to his shortened season in the WHL, he was part of Canada’s 2021 IIHF U18 World Championship team. Stankoven had tallied four goals and four assists in the tournament.

Player Profile

D.O.B – February 26, 2003
Nationality – Canada
Draft Eligibility – 2021
Height – 5’8
Weight – 170 lbs
Position – Centre
Handedness – Right

Stankoven’s Style Of Play

Similar to Frölunda’s Lucas Raymond, Stankoven plays a high-tempo game and is a menace in the offensive zone. He rushes towards the puck and plays the puck hard. Stankoven has elite forechecking ability and if his opponent has the puck along the boards in their own zone, he applies pressure to limit open lanes and capture possession of the puck. While some prospects are much stronger as a forechecker and are not as strong in the neutral and defensive zones, Stankoven is the opposite. When he is in his own zone and the neutral zone, he does not leave many gaps for his opponents.

If we look at Stankoven’s passing under the hood, he can execute the perfect drop pass in every zone. His drop passing looks synchronized. Stankoven will make you believe that he has no intention of giving up possession of the puck. That is how good he is at drop passing.

The other pass that Stankoven is quite strong at is his saucer pass. If he has possession of the puck in the defensive zone and he spots an open teammate in the neutral zone, but he has a decent amount of traffic in front of him, Stankoven will elect to use his saucer pass to get the puck past traffic and to his open teammate.

On the other hand, Stankoven’s centered passing and cross ice passing will be inaccurate from time-to-time. It is evident that Stankoven is working on his passing, especially his passing on the rush. I’m not concerned about his passing, but it is an area that could use a little bit of improvement.

Stankoven’s skating is an area of his game where it’s solid, but is still being worked on. He has the ability to accelerate with a non power stride. Stankoven will utilize quality crossovers to ignite his acceleration, especially when in transition. His crossovers also allow him to complete tight turns. From an ankle flexion perspective, his knees sits on top of his toes, but it’s not consistent. There are shifts where his knees don’t align on top of his toes. Ultimately, if Stankoven can work on his ankle flexion, you will notice a huge change in his skating ability and his speed will only continue to grow.

Last but not least, let’s talk about Stankoven’s shot. He has a quick release and will occasionally attempt to dangle with the puck right before he shoots from range. By doing so, he can make you believe that he intends to come closer to the crease. Instead, he dangles and fires a wrist shot.

When he is on the power play, Stankoven plays along the left half wall and has strong accuracy from any point along the half wall. At even strength, he seems to be most comfortable with his shot when he is in the slot.

In the highlight reel below, you can check out Stankoven’s four goal night the Victoria Royals from February 15, 2020.

Projection

Top Nine Centerman (NHL).


stats from InStat and EliteProspects

Prospect report written by Josh Tessler. If you would like to follow Josh on Twitter, his handle is @JoshTessler_.

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Scouting Report: Tim Stützle

Photo Credit: AS Sportfoto/Soerli Binder

German hockey fans have had a lot to cheer about over the past few years. Whether it be Germany’s unexpected silver medal at the 2018 Olympic Winter Games or the rise of Leon Draisaitl as one of the NHL’s top players – and the projected favorite to win the Hart Trophy this season – there has never been a better time to being a German supporter.

And it’s about to hit another new level later this year. A year after Moritz Seider went No. 6 to Detroit, the 2020 draft could see two players – Tim Stützle and John-Jason Peterka – go in the first round, with Lukas Reichel not far behind as a potential second-round selection. Only seven Germans have gone in the first round in NHL history and there has never been two in the same year, so we’re on the verge of history in the making.

Alexis Lafreniere and Quinton Byfield are seen as, more or less, the consensus No. 1-2 prospects. But Stützle is a feisty competitor in third, hoping to join Draisaitl as just the second German to make the NHL after going No. 3 in the draft (Orest Romashyna went No. 3 to Boston in 1963 but instead never made it out of the Canadian university ranks). And in a year with so much skill up front at the draft, that’s saying something.

Stützle took center stage during the World Junior Championship when he helped an impressive, but still underpowered German team avoid relegation and earn a spot at the 2021 edition. Will Stützle return? That’s yet to be known, but his play with the U-20 team, which saw him post 18 points in 13 games over the past two years, highlighted just how good the star forward can be against kids in his own age group. But what about at the pro level? Stützle’s 34 points in 41 games are good for third all-time by a U-18 player in the German league, but his 0.83 points-per-game average is far and away the best. His output helped Stützle earn DEL rookie of the year honors – a surprise to nobody – and showed that he can hang with the best the league has to offer. Now, it’s time for a promotion.

From talking to scouts, many seem split on whether Stützle will be a center or a winger in the NHL. Teams covet smart middlemen, and that’s Stützle’s calling. But others are concerned he’s not physically ready for the roll and that his quick footwork would serve him well on the breakout. He has experience at both, and the consensus seems to be that it’s all dependent on which team drafts them and their need for help down the middle. If Stützle does make it as a middleman, he’ll be a No. 1 center, no doubt.

The strength of the 2020 draft isn’t a secret – compared to Lafreniere or Byfield, Stützle’s game doesn’t have the overall explosiveness and high-end ability, but he’s still one of the most well-rounded prospects in the draft. He’s got traits any team would show interest in and his undesirable aspects are so minuscule – his game will transition to the NHL quite nicely. Let’s take a deep look at what makes Stützle so intriguing:

Player Profile

D.O.B – January 15, 2002
Nationality – Germany
Draft Eligibility – 2020
Height – 6’0
Weight – 187 lbs
Position – Center/Left Wing
Handedness – Left

Stützle’s Style Of Play

While pro experience for a junior prospect typically doesn’t matter five years down the line, Stützle’s ability to adapt his game against his nation’s top domestic league players is a sign that he shouldn’t have an issue adapting to playing against men. Part of that is because Stützle’s high-attack speed and ability to transition at an impressive rate of velocity allows him to keep up with the action and dictate where the puck will end up next. Some scouts consider Stützle to be the best skater in the draft, and it’s his ability to take away space and create his own with his footwork that makes him so elusive.

Stützle needs to use his speed to his advantage because while he has the skill level to handle himself effectively, his strength lacks compared to the likes of other top prospects such as Quinton Byfield or Anton Lundell. But he knows that, and he adapts his game to a point where he can use his other assets to fill the gaps. Stützle has room to add more physical mass, especially since speed at the NHL level isn’t going to be enough to win puck battles at a consistent rate – and it’s not like he can’t handle physical matchups along the boards, he just doesn’t have a high win rate against bigger competition – but he has found potent ways to handle the concern.

Depending on which scout you talk to, Stützle’s playmaking ability is the best aspect of his game. We saw it at the World Junior Championship with his five assists, finding his linemates in tough, high-pace situations and rarely failing to get a pass on target. For a player to perform at a level like this, they have to see the game at a rapid pace – and Stützle’s smarts with the disk highlights that fact.

Stützle often displays his tremendous playmaking skills on the power play, and his coaches at various levels have shown a strong willingness to let him control the man advantage. Like most stout passers, Stützle doesn’t look for the easy pass, but he almost always attempts the smart pass. When you look at the guys that do it best in the NHL – Sidney Crosby, Claude Giroux and Nicklas Backstrom come to mind – they have the intelligence to wait a play out if it means getting a better result instead of just forcing a play and hoping it works out. Stützle’s high degree of patience and creativity is what helps him stand out from the draft class and a big reason why he’s tough to defend against.

Ideally, scouts would have liked to see more than seven goals in the DEL this season (and just 11 if you include international outings), but his shot is far from a concern. He’s got a dangerously quick release that allows him to pick corners and he’s no stranger to intentionally throwing the puck on net to create a rebound if he feels its a better way of creating a scoring chance – that bounces back to his quick-witted on-ice demeanor.

Back in his own zone, Stützle always seems to be engaged in the defensive side of the game and his speed allows him to catch opponents off guard on a reverse rush. There’s still room for improvement, though, and that’s partly because of him being a younger player in the DEL and not getting adequate opportunities to play a bigger defensive role, but that’s something he’ll have a lot of chances to practice at in the coming seasons.

Teams love prospects with confidence, and “cocky” is definitely a word that can be used to describe Stutzle’s game – but in a good way. He doesn’t doubt his decision making and he’s not afraid to let top competition force him to make a quick decision because he can handle the pressure. The game seems to always come to him, and when he’s not busy pulling off highlight-reel moves, he’s making his teammates better. Sometimes at the World Junior Championship, it looked like he was trying to do too much for a team that wouldn’t have put up as many close battles without him, but that just speaks to his overall skill level. He knows what he’s capable of and it shows on the scoresheet.

In short, the team that selects Stützle is getting a dynamic, two-way force with tremendous top speed and a great skillset with the puck. Sound like a player you’d be interested in?

Comparable

Claude Giroux, C, Philadelphia Flyers

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Scouting Report: Kaiden Guhle

Photo Credit: Lucas Chudleigh / Apollo Multimedia

Kaiden Guhle is the brother of Anaheim Ducks defensive prospect Brendan Guhle. Just like his brother, Guhle is left-handed defenseman who plays a very physical rugged game. Not only are both brothers physical defensemen, but they also both played junior hockey for the Prince Albert Raiders.

This past season, Guhle mustered up 11 goals and 29 assists in 64 games played. When you compare his point totals to his first full season in the WHL (2018-2019 season), you will see that he managed to double his rookie season point total in his 2019-2020 campaign.

Player Profile

DOB – January 18, 2002

Draft Eligibility – 2020

Height – 6’3″

Weight – 187 lbs

Position – Defense

Handedness – Left

Guhle’s Style Of Play

As I mentioned previously, Guhle is a physically gifted defensemen. He delivers booming hits in all three zones and is easily the best physical defenseman in the 2020 NHL Entry Draft class.

Not only is Guhle capable of knocking you off of your stride, but he also deploys a tight gap control. Similarly to Jake Sanderson from the USNTDP, Guhle uses his stick to shield and attempt to prevent his attacker from skating towards the net with the puck. If the attacker looks the deviate from his route and pivot or spin, Guhle will not be phased. He will hang the attacker and pivot/spin as well. In two-on-one situations, Guhle is quite serviceable, he bends his knees and goes down low to create shot blocks.

While Guhle’s cap control is quite good, the one thing that I would like to see him improve upon is his gap control against speedy and strong stick-handling forwards. When Guhle has to shut down a speedy forward on a rush, he will attempt to keep up and use his stick as a buffer or lay out a check to throw the attacker off of his rhythm. This is Guhle’s go-to move with speedy or top-notch stick-handlers because his stride is shorter and his acceleration is not as fast as other draft eligible defensemen like Jamie Drysdale of the Erie Otters and Sanderson. So, if I’m the general manager of the NHL team that is drafting Guhle, I would gently suggest that he work with a power skating instructor to widen his stride. Guhle with a wide stride could be a deadly force.

Next, let’s talk about Guhle’s transitional play. There are moments where Guhle will move the puck from zone-to-zone, but it is not common. Instead, Guhle elects to pass in his own zone and will often complete his first pass along his red line to an available winger. With that being said, his first pass is always accurate and is a quick tape-to-tape feed.

In the offensive zone, Guhle loves to pinch, drive the puck behind the net and complete a backhand pass to a teammate to help keep the cycle alive. On the power play, Guhle is commonly used as the Raiders’ power play quarterback. Which is interesting because Guhle’s crossovers are not as a fast as Sanderson or Drysdale, so it takes him slightly longer to move laterally along the blue line. But, Guhle makes up for it with his shot. He can fire solid slap and wrist shots. But, he really lights up the lamp when being fed one-timers. Guhle can drain one-timers.

When he is not being fed one-timers, more than often he will aim for the low posts. Down the road, I would like to see Guhle work on elevating his shot from the blue line. When he is closer to the perimeter, he seems to be much stronger at elevating his shot, but from the blue line, his accuracy worsens when he attempts to elevate his shot.

If Guhle can work on his shot and work with a power skating instructor on widening his stride, he could be dominant in the NHL one day.

Comparable

Dion Phaneuf, LHD, Played for the Los Angeles Kings, Toronto Maple Leafs, Calgary Flames and Ottawa Senators

Scouting Report: Alexis Lafrenière

Photo Credit – Aaron Bell/CHL

Alexis Lafrenière is coming off of an 112 point season. Lafrenière was second in total points in the CHL. Eight points shy of leading in points, but Marco Rossi of the Ottawa 67’s bested him in points as he recorded 120 points.

If you look at Lafrenière’s points per game, he improved massively when you look at his year over year growth. In his 2018-2019 campaign with Rimouski, the left winger recorded 105 points in 61 games (1.72 points per game). This past season, he managed to post 112 points in 52 games and 2.15 points per game.

In addition, if you look at Dave MacPherson’s site Pick224, Lafrenière had the highest even strength primary points per game played and the highest primary points per game played for 2020 NHL Draft eligible prospects.

There is no doubt that Lafrenière has plenty of offensive firepower, but let’s look at his game under the hypothetical microscope.

Player Profile

DOB – October 11, 2001

Draft Eligibility – 2020

Height – 6’1″

Weight – 192 lbs

Position – Left Wing

Handedness – Left

Lafrenière’s Style Of Play

Lafrenière is stunning in transition. His ability to get the puck through tight gaps is something that many prospects at his age struggle with. There will of course be instances where Lafrenière gets stuck at his opponents’ blue line and fails to complete a controlled zone entry, but the fight and determination to get the puck into the offensive zone is worth noting. In addition, Lafrenière is tremendous at weaving around traffic. With Lafrenière’s quick crossovers, he can alter his path at a moment’s notice. While he is an effective puck-mover and can efficiently weave, there are moments where he seems to over-skate the puck amid weaving.

In the offensive zone, Lafrenière can do everything that you want him to do. I mean everything. If you want Lafrenière to stick-handle one-handed, he can deliver. Let’s say you need him to complete a one-handed pass to the slot with tight pressure on him, he has got you covered. His passing in the offensive zone is lights out. While on the rush, he can float a strategical cross ice pass just outside of the slot to set up a teammate. Lafrenière’s hands are smooth. He can complete backhanded passes and have close to the same accuracy as if he was completing the same pass forehanded.

When it comes to his shot, Lafrenière fires at all cylinders and he can burn you from anywhere in the offensive zone. Most players struggle at times in the corners, but Lafrenière can fire accurate shots from down in the corner and find gaps to score. Not only can Lafrenière muster up beautiful highlight-reel shots, but he can also sell a slap shot, fake it and then set up a teammate in the slot with a perfectly timed pass.

Also, Lafrenière loves to run the cycle and running the show. He will dance around the zone like a ballerina and find the perfect moment to strike. When he is on the power play, occasionally he will hover around the offensive zone to find an open piece of ice to give his teammates a chance to fire a one-timer pass to him. That reminds me quite a bit of Alexander Ovechkin, Patrick Kane and Auston Matthews. While he could park himself in one slot and wait for the puck, he chooses to circle the zone in an effort to open up enough space for him to find success.

The defensive zone is Lafrenière weakest zone, but he is still strong defensively. His go-to defensive move is to defend the boards and poke-check. While poke-checking is his number one defensive play, you can expect Lafrenière to deliver quality body checks to silence his opponents’ cycle. Sometimes Lafrenière will attempt to deliver a shoulder check, but miss his timing/target. Over the summer and in his first season in the NHL, he should be looking to adjust his reaction timing to ensure that he is not late on hits.

Last, but not least, Lafrenière’s skating is effortless. As I mentioned before, his crossovers and his edge work are constantly in fine form. He uses his crossovers to help him speed up and down the ice. Occasionally, in the defensive zone, along the half wall, Lafrenière does an excellent job of transitioning from forwards to backwards to make a quick poke-check when his opponent is not expecting it.

Comparable

Patrick Kane, RW, Chicago Blackhawks

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Scouting Report: Quinton Byfield

Photo Credit – Aaron Bell, CHL/OHL Images, Photo Taken by Chris Tanouye.

Quinton Byfield. Get used to saying that name because if your team doesn’t end up picking him, you’ll hate playing against the top 2002-born prospect in the world.

Byfield joined the struggling Sudbury Wolves squad two years ago, marking the team’s second first overall pick in three years after David Levin made headlines as the first Israeli-born prospect to get drafted to the OHL. Levin had a good OHL career, but the rest of the league wasn’t ready for what Byfield was capable of.

Byfield was an instant threat, winning the OHL’s rookie of the year honors with 61 points in 64 games – helping the Wolves win more than 40 games for the first time in over 20 years. He upped his game as a sophomore, posting 18 points in the first eight games to be the hottest prospect out of the gate. He cooled down shortly after, but one thing was clear: Byfield made everyone around him better.

Byfield’s play was brought into question by some fans following an almost invisible seven games at the World Junior Championship. Even though he was the youngest forward on the team, which ultimately led to less ice time, it was a surprise given his dominant performance during camp that made perhaps the best forward over the few days in Oakville. However, his World Junior Championship performance should not hurt his draft stock: very few U-18 players ever have an impact at the tournament (don’t forget that Lafreniere has an extra year of major junior development under his belt) and even though top players typically shine through, you’re talking about taking a top prospect that’s used to carrying his team and giving him under nine minutes a night.

But Byfield bounced back in the only way he could, recording six points in his first two games back before finishing January with a trio of multi-point efforts. Just how important was Byfield to Sudbury’s scoring hopes? In the seven games in which Byfield failed to register a point (including the lone back-to-back stretch in January in which he didn’t hit the scoresheet, for those worrying about his consistency this season), the Wolves went 1-5-1. In the seven games that Byfield missed during the World Junior Championship, the Wolves went 1-6-0. Take that for what you will, but it’s clear Sudbury wouldn’t be as strong as they were this season without Byfield on the ice.

For the past few years, Byfield has been seen as the No. 2 prospect behind Rimouski’s Alexis Lafreniere. They play different styles with their own fantastic qualities, but Lafreniere and his ability to completely take a game over (and the numbers to back it up) has the edge. But there’s also a reason why the 2020 draft is so highly regarded: Byfield’s production would make him the top prospect in many other years, with some even suggesting he’s closer to No. 1 than No. 3.

Let’s take a closer look at Byfield’s play:

Byfield’s Style of Play

The first thing you’ll notice with Byfield is that he can be physically dominant when he needs to. Dating back to his youth hockey days, Byfield looked like a mature man that could handle older, tougher competition thanks to his strength with and without the puck. But while many bigger kids have to rely on size to be fully effective, Byfield doesn’t. When he isn’t throwing big hits or shielding the puck away from attackers, he’s focused on getting pucks on net, something he had no issue achieving as Sudbury’s top scorer.

Byfield’s goals often come in close proximity, either just around the crease or below the hash marks. Byfield uses his strength to hold his own around the net and create havoc in front of the goalie, but a big reason as to why he’s so successful in close is because of how he uses his skating to his advantage. For a kid his size, skating is a non-issue. While he doesn’t possess elite top-speed, he doesn’t need to because he’s got fantastic acceleration that allows him to force breakaways and turnovers on the rush. When you get someone his size moving at a high velocity, stopping him becomes a challenge, especially when trying to defend him on a rush in close. It doesn’t look effortless by any means, but it’s effective and a huge positive in his game.

Byfield’s shot has never been a top aspect of his overall game, but we’re still talking about a player who was on pace for nearly 50 goals this season. Again, he does much of his damage in close, but he’s creative with his chances. When teams realize how deadly he is around the crease, Byfield uses the extra space away from the net to unleash his hard wrist shot, and compared to some of the other top prospects, he’s not afraid to send out a blast of a slapper.

In a chart posted by Louis Troxler, he calculated that – while using an NHLe modifier based on each league’s respective average to compare draft-eligible prospects – Byfield’s primary-points-per-estimated-60 is 4.77 – a solid leap up from OHL MVP Marco Rossi’s 4.46 and over a full point above Lafreniere’s 3.76. What this says is that Byfield gets the most out of his opportunities, which isn’t surprising given his star status in Sudbury.

So how does Byfield’s production compare to other seasons from top OHLers? Byfield’s 1.82 points-per-game average is good for sixth over the past decade, but when you take into consideration that Connor McDavid, Dylan Strome, Mitch Marner and Matthew Tkachuk had some high-quality teammates surrounding him too, it’s something special. For consideration, Andrei Svechniov had a 1.64 rating in 2017-18.

Byfield didn’t have the final explosive numbers that Lafreniere had this season, but the underlying stats suggest Byfield is far ahead of the curve. Remember, Lafreniere is nearly a year older than Byfield with an extra year of development, but Byfield’s 15.16 even-strength relative goal percentage tops Lafreniere’s 12.77. Albeit, they played in different leagues, but Lafreniere also played on one of the most dangerous lines in the QMJHL, so give credit where credit’s due in relation to Byfield.

So, obviously, producing points isn’t an issue for Byfield, and it’s clear his offensive contributions were a leading factor as to why Sudbury was a contender in the OHL. But how will that translate over to the big leagues? According to Byron Bader’s HockeyProspecting NHLe tool, Byfield’s best draft comparison is Jason Spezza, and trust us, the similarities are interesting: Spezza went second overall in 2001, Byfield is projected to go No. 2 in 2020. Spezza’s draft-year NHLe was 46 compared to Byfield’s 45. Spezza was drafted at 6-foot-3 and 214 points, while Byfield stands at 6-foot-4 and 215. Both are big, strong centermen

Defensively, Byfield’s strong skating allows him to get back into the battle and he has the reach to poke the puck out of danger. He isn’t afraid to block shots, but his confidence in his own game and his determination to help his teammates out is special. I’d like to see him get a bit more aggressive in his own zone (watch a few Wolves games and you’ll notice he sometimes stands around and watches)

In short: the team that takes Byfield is getting a smart, two-way, physically capable center. Name an organization that wouldn’t want that type of player in the lineup – you can’t.

Comparable

Jason Spezza, C, Toronto Maple Leafs